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Beat writer Dan Duggan puts the odds of RB Saquon Barkley returning to the Giants in 2023 at 40%. Barkley, who enters a contract year, was the focus of offseason trade rumors. Duggan considers the franchise tag a potential “compromise option” next spring, but it’ll be costly ($13 million). Of course, Barkley’s 2021 performance will play some role in his future with New York. But we agree that he'll likely play elsewhere in 2023.

Recent Shark Bites

The Giants have moved RB Saquon Barkley around the formation in OTAs. NJ.com's Zack Rosenblatt says that in addition to traditional RB routes, Barkley has "on numerous occasions" lined up as a receiver -- both in the slot and outside. It fits with what we (and Rosenblatt) expected to see from Barkley's role based on the words of new HC Brian Daboll. Rosenblatt also notes that Barkley is the healthiest he's been entering summer "maybe since his rookie year." There's big fantasy upside on the Giants' feature back

After listening to new Giants HC Brian Daboll speak at the NFL owners' meetings on Tuesday, insider Zack Rosenblatt came away believing that RB Saquon Barkley will be a bigger part of the passing game this season. "Saquon is a unique guy," Daboll said. "If you go back I’ve watched all of his tape all the way back from his rookie year when he had (91) catches. He’s a versatile player ... I’m excited to work with him.” After averaging 5.7 catches per game as a rookie, Barkley has sunk to 3.5 per game over the last 3 seasons. Look for that number to rebound this season, assuming good health for Barkley.

Giants GM Joe Schoen emphasized Monday from the NFL owners' meetings that he is "not shopping Saquon Barkley." The new GM drew headlines at the Scouting Combine by saying he'd listen to calls on all players. He acknowledged that "a couple of teams have reached out" on the veteran RB but added, "I haven't called one team about Saquon Barkley." It doesn't sound like we should expect Barkley to move this offseason. (We'll see whether that changes.)

Asked about the possibility of trading RB Saquon Barkley this offseason, Giants GM Joe Schoen said Tuesday in Indianapolis, "I'm open to anything." NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, however, says a Barkley move "doesn't seem realistic." Why? Primarily money. According to Spotrac, the final year on Barkley's deal carries $7.2 million in guaranteed salary. That's not an enormous number, but it's significant money for a RB. We'll see what happens here, but whether Barkley stays or goes might not matter for fantasy purposes. If the Giants keep him, he'd likely operate as the clear lead back. And if another team acquires him, it would likely be doing so to feature Barkley.

The Giants have hired Brian Daboll as their new HC. Daboll has been a hot name in coaching circles for a couple of years and was reportedly also drawing strong interest from the Dolphins. The 46-year-old has worked his way through 3 different colleges and 6 different NFL teams to get here. He most recently served as Buffalo's OC and play caller for the past 4 seasons. The Bills struggled in those first 2 years but ranked top 5 in total yards and points in the last 2. Daboll, of course, won't have a Josh Allen in New York. QB Daniel Jones remains a big question mark. But Daboll does have skill-position talent in RB Saquon Barkley and WRs Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney. New York's offensive line still needs a lot of work. Daboll's arrival at least adds upside to this offense.

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