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Davante Adams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Basic Stats

Davante Adams
ADP: 2.4
Bye: 13
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 30.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56
Speed Score: 98.10
SPARQx (Rank): 108.50 (63%)
Burst Score (Rank): 128.70 (85%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.12 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.25 (86%)

Davante Adams's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.8 86 0.6 12.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6 74.9 0.6 11.4

Davante Adams's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Wide Receiver

181.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
2.4 95.3 1199 10.3 3 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Although his usage changed and efficiency sunk a bit in his first year with the Raiders, Adams used a whopping 180 targets to finish as a top-3 WR across fantasy formats.

He remains one of the very best WRs in the game.

He’ll be working with a new QB in 2023, though, after the Raiders swapped out Derek Carr for Jimmy Garoppolo. It looks like a lateral move at best, and potentially a downgrade.

The chemistry between Garoppolo and Adams is worth monitoring throughout the offseason, but Adams has simply been too good for too long to bet against.


What We Learned Last Year
  • In his Raiders debut last season, Adams tallied:
    • 180 targets
    • 100 catches
    • 1,516 receiving yards
    • 14 TDs
  • The 180 targets were a career high. The yardage and TD totals were his second-best marks in nine NFL seasons.
  • Adams ranked top-7 among WRs in all four categories, including leading the league in receiving scores.
  • He finished third among WRs in PPR points; second in half-PPR and non-PPR.
  • Adams has now finished as a top-11 WR in PPR points per game in seven straight seasons:
    • 2016:11th
    • 2017: 9th
    • 2018: 1st
    • 2019: 5th
    • 2020: 1st
    • 2021: 2nd
    • 2022: 6th
  • His usage changed considerably in his first year in Vegas.
    • Over his final three seasons in Green Bay, Adams registered average target depths of 10.0, 8.9, and 9.6 yards.
    • He caught 71.2% of his targets and averaged 12.2 yards per catch.
    • Adams worked deeper in his first season with the Raiders, posting an aDOT of 11.8 yards.
    • His catch rate sunk to 55.6%, but he set a career high with 15.2 yards per catch.
    • Adams’ 8.4 yards per target last year was down a bit from his 8.8 yards over those final three seasons with the Packers. But it still ranked 30th among 85 WRs with 50+ targets.
    • Adams ranked fifth among those 85 WRs with 2.45 yards per route run, although that was also down from his yards per route over the previous three seasons (2.61, 2.75, 2.81).
What to Expect in 2023
  • Adams is back in HC Josh McDaniels’ offense.
  • Vegas lost 191 targets from last year (32.6% of the team total) with the offseason departures of WR Mack Hollins and TEs Darren Waller and Foster Moreau. The team added free-agent WR Jakobi Meyers, free-agent TE Austin Hooper, and rookie TE Michael Mayer. Adams should again be a target hog.
  • The big change comes at QB, where Jimmy Garoppolo replaces Derek Carr. That looks like a lateral move at best, and potentially a downgrade.
    • Garoppolo beats Carr in career completion rate and yards per attempt, but he’s spent most of his time in Kyle Shanahan’s QB-friendly offense.
    • Carr beat Garoppolo in Pro Football Focus passing grade in four straight seasons from 2018-2021 – although Garoppolo edged Carr last year.
    • Garoppolo is also recovering from March foot surgery.
  • Garoppolo has not been a particularly willing or effective downfield passer.
  • Here’s where he has ranked in percentage of throws to travel 20+ yards over the last four seasons:
    • 2019: 46th out of 46 qualifiers
    • 2020: 42nd of 44
    • 2021: 39th of 42
    • 2022: 39th of 49
  • And here’s where Garoppolo has ranked in Pro Football Focus passing grade on those deep balls:
    • 2019: 17th out of 46 qualifiers
    • 2020: 41st of 44
    • 2021: 27th of 42
    • 2022: 16th of 49
  • It’s a concern for Adams if the Raiders continue to deploy him deeper down the field, like they did last year.

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Davante Adams, WR LVR

5:11pm EDT 10/1/23

Davante Adams hurts shoulder

Raiders WR Davante Adams suffered a shoulder injury in the second quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Chargers. He was in obvious pain on the field and is officially questionable to return. We'll update Adams' status as soon as we know more.

Update: Adams returned to the game later in the second quarter.

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The Raiders will start rookie QB Aidan O'Connell over QB Brian Hoyer vs. the Chargers today, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. O'Connell got the "majority" of the practice reps by the end of the week, per Schefter. O'Connell finished his four-year career at Purdue with a 66.7% completion rate, 7.4 yards per attempt, and 65 TDs vs. 30 INTs. He went in the fourth round of this spring's draft but was a preseason standout, completing 69.4% of his passes for 482 yards, three TDs, and 0 INTs. He ranked second among 68 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus passing grade. O'Connell is obviously a major question mark heading into his first regular-season start. But he at least brings more upside than the 37-year-old Hoyer.

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The Raiders have downgraded QB Jimmy Garoppolo (concussion) to out for Sunday's game against the Chargers. That means Brian Hoyer will start. It's obviously a downgrade for WRs Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers. Adams, though, delivered a 7-153-2 receiving line in Jarrett Stidham's first start last year after Derek Carr got benched. And he added a decent 5-73 the following week. So don't treat either player as though he's suddenly unusable, especially against a Chargers D that's already been bad and will now miss stars Joey Bosa and Derwin James. Check our Week 4 WR rankings to see where both settle.

View all Jimmy Garoppolo Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo (concussion) returned to a limited practice on Thursday. So he's made some progress through the protocol but still has multiple stages to clear in order to play vs. the Chargers. We'll get another update on his progress tomorrow.

View all Jimmy Garoppolo Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo (concussion) did not practice on Wednesday. He has a long way to go to be cleared for this weekend's game vs. the Chargers. QB Brian Hoyer is expected to start if Garoppolo can't. That'd be a significant downgrade for Vegas' pass-catchers.

View all Jimmy Garoppolo Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Davante Adams, WR LVR
Dynasty MVP 92.5
Position Rank #72 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
330
485
702
Dynasty Write-up
The Raiders paid a pretty penny to acquire Adams. Still, he returned immediate value with a top-5 fantasy season. Now 30, Adams probably only has a couple of years left with a WR1 outlook. Plus, QB Derek Carr departed this offseason.
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