Davante Adams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

WR GB

#2 Wide Receiver

199 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 13

Experience: 7 Yr(s)

Age: 29

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 212

40 Time: 4.56

Weekly Outlook

Low Floor

8.2

DS Projection

13.4

Consensus

38 other sites
7

Low Ceiling

16.6

Rest of
Season

–

Week 20 Projections

Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
7.5	92.1	0.7	13.4

Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Adams had another big game on Sunday Night Football against the Bears. He had a 38-yard TD reception late in the 2nd quarter on a beautiful route. He added a 3-yard TD late in the game to put the game out of reach for the Bears. He led the Packers in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving TDs. The guy is a technician and must watch TV anytime he and Aaron Rodgers get on the field together. Adams had a 35% target share on the night and finished with 10 catches (on 13 targets) for 121 yards and 2 TDs. Adams has now gone over 100 receiving yards in each of the Packers last 3 games and has scored 4 TDs over that same span. His connection with Aaron Rodgers has been special to watch over the last several seasons. We have Adams ranked as our WR2 this week against the Ravens. The Ravens have surrendered 5 TDs to opposing WRs over their last 4 games. The next three games on the Packers schedule to wrap up the fantasy football playoffs include @BAL, CLE, and MIN.

Week 12
Adams remains an absolute stud. He caught 8 of 9 targets for 104 yards on Sunday. This was his 4th straight game seeing 8 or more targets. He has put up that total in 8 of 11 games this season. It was also the 5th 100-yard plus game of the year.

Going forward, Adams should continue to beast. He has seen the volume required of the WR1. The TD production or lack thereof is a bit puzzling. To this point he has only 5 TDs. This is a player who has eclipsed double-digit TDs in each of the past 4 seasons that he played at least 14 games.

Unfortunately TDs are a bit random so this may just be a season where he underwhelms in that department. But if he can reach 10 or more TDs, you could be looking at a league winner.

Either way Adams should be in your lineup as long as he is healthy.

Week 11
Adams blew up in a big way on Sunday, catching 7 of his 8 targets for 115 yards and 2 TDs. This was his first multiple TD game of the season. From a yardage perspective it was only his 4th highest total despite clearing the century mark.

Adams was due for a breakout game after averaging only 65 yards over his 3 prior games and only scoring 1 TD. While those numbers are strong for many receivers, Adams is held to a higher standard that he can clearly reach.

Going forward, there is little reason to doubt the elite WR who can dominate anytime he touches the field. The volume is there and the TD opportunity is there. For a WR who only has 5 TDs even after his 2-TD performance, there could be more coming. Each of the last 4 seasons where Adams played 14 or more games he reached double-digit TDs, including his absurd 18 from a season ago. He could carry teams to fantasy championships down the stretch. Enjoy the ride!

Week 10
Adams caught 7 of 11 targets for 78 yards in the Packers' Week 10 win against the Seahawks.
Adams was used mostly at the line of scrimmage with a multitude of screen plays in his direction. No other Green Bay receiver saw more than 4 targets against Seattle in a low-scoring slugfest.
QB Aaron Rodgers trusts Adams more than any other Packer by far, making Adams almost a lock for 10+ targets in every game for the rest of the season.
Adams will remain an elite WR1 in Week 11’s matchup against the Vikings.

Week 9
Adams saw the biggest impact with the QB switch against the Chiefs. He caught just 6 of 14 targets for 42 yards. This was his lowest yardage production since Week 1 when the Packers got smoked by New Orleans.

Going forward, Adams should be just fine with Aaron Rodgers under center. From Week 2 on, Adams had 65 or more receiving yards in every game, averaging 11 targets per game over that span.

Week 8
Adams was unable to suit up against the Cardinals due to being placed on the reserve/COVID19 list on Monday, October 25th. The Packers are hopeful Adams will be cleared to return from the reserve/COVID19 list before this weekend’s game against Kansas City. He is expected to return to practice on Thursday. We have him ranked as our overall WR1 this week if can return to the lineup. The Chiefs’ secondary has held opposing WRs to 1 receiving TD over their last 3 games. The next three games on the Packers schedule are @KC, SEA, and @MIN. Adams is our WR2 for the rest of the season.

Week 6
Adams remains a rock solid option who should contend for the most fantasy points among WRs. He caught 4 of his 5 targets for 89 yards in this one. He was millimeters from avoiding the out of bounds line and finding the end zone.

This production came on Adams’ lowest volume game of the season. He had come into this game with 3 straight weeks of double-digit targets.

Going forward, Adams will have more boom games including breaking 100 plus yards, seeing 10 or more targets and finding the end zone. It is reasonable to assume this was a floor performance for Adams. If this is as bad as it gets, most teams will be in great shape with him in their lineups.

Week 5
On the 1st couple drives, the Bengals were getting pressure on Aaron Rodgers while Chidobe Awuzie looked solid in defending Adams. That lasted just a few minutes, as the dynamic duo of Adams and Rodgers completely took the game over and the WR posted almost 19 yards per catch. Adams saw 16 of the QB’s 39 passes in a wild game that required big plays, leading to a 200-yard performance, which was a career high.

After a ‘slow’ start to the yeast when Adams had ‘just’ 16 targets in the first 2 games, he’s averaged 15 over the last 3 weeks, and he’s reclaimed this crown as the highest floor WR in the game with the only player challenging him for ceiling is Tyreek Hill. Even though Aaron Rodgers is throwing about 33 passes per game, Adams’ target share is through the roof. It should continue to be that way going forward.

Week 4
Adams caught 6 of his team-high 11 targets for 64 yards on Sunday. It was his second straight double-digit target game. He's seen 7 or more in every game.

Going forward, Adams remains an elite option that sees a ton of quality targets from one of the best QBs the NFL has ever seen. There is little reason to doubt him the rest of the way.

Week 3
Another week, another absolutely massive performance by Adams. The guy appeared to be severely injured late in the game but only missed one play before returning to help lead the last-minute comeback.

Adams had 18 targets in this game -- yes 18 targets, for a 55% target share. He finished the night with 12 catches for 132 yards and 1 TD.

The Steelers are on deck for Adams. Though usually a tough matchup, they have surrendered 5 WR TDs already on the season. Adams, of course, is an easy fantasy start regardless of matchup.

We have him ranked at the overall PPR WR1 against the Steelers this weekend and for the rest of the season.

Week 2
Adams remains an absolute stud. He saw a team-high 9 targets, catching 8 for 121 yards. He remains a primary focus of QB Aaron Rodgers.

A season ago, Adams had 9 or more targets a staggering 12 times. Going forward, there is little reason to doubt he will get into the double digits often. While the Packers will find opportunities to exploit matchups they can attack, Adams will always be the focal point.

Week 1
When you see Adams’ stat line of 5-56 on 7 targets, you’re obviously disappointed. However, when you put it into context that Aaron Rodgers only threw for 133 yards, it makes you realize that Adams accounted for 42% of the team’s receiving production. Adams will get immediate redemption as the Packers play the Lions in Week 2 who just surrendered 189 receiving yards to Deebo Samuel in the opener.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

Even though he missed 2 games and left a 3rd early, Adams still led the league with 28.3% target share last season. For his 15 full games -- including the playoffs -- Adams grabbed a 33.2% share.
- For the regular season, Stefon Diggs (27.85%), DeAndre Hopkins (27.83%) and Darren Waller (26.3%) were the only other players to reach 25%.
In 2019, Adams drew 29.7% target share in his 14 games (including playoffs). In 2018, it was 28.2% over his 15 contests.
Last season, Adams was the only Packer to exceed 63 targets. Aaron Jones and Marquez Valdes-Scantling tied for 2nd on the team with that number. Then came Robert Tonyan at 59. No other Packer reached 50.
The biggest additions for this year’s pass-catching corps: 3rd-round rookie WR Amari Rodgers and 2020 opt-out WR Devin Funchess.
Adams is likely to see some regression from his 15.7% TD rate last season, but that ranked him just 13th among wideouts with 30+ targets.
Adams has been heavily targeted in the end zone over the past 3 seasons. According to Pro Football Focus, he ranked 4th in the league in end-zone targets in 2018, tied for 9th in 2019 (when he missed 4 games) and tied for 3rd last year.
Adams has showed just how volatile production can be in that area even with Aaron Rodgers as your QB: He caught 6 of 17 end-zone looks in 2018 (35.3%), 2 of 11 in 2019 (18.2%) and then 11 of 16 last year (68.75%).
That was the biggest factor in Adams outsourcing the nearest WR (Tyreek Hill) by 3.8 PPR points per game last year.
Adams still checked in 1st and 5th the previous 2 seasons in PPR points per game.
Among WRs with 300+ targets over the past 3 seasons, Adams ranks 10th in catch rate (69.4%). Last year’s 77.2% beat his previous high by 11.5 percentage points.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Adams should dominate target share no matter who’s behind center for the Packers this season. He’ll almost definitely see a significant decline in TDs, though, and probably see his catch rate fall. If Aaron Rodgers decides not to throw the passes, the impact could be even greater. Let’s hope we get that question answered, at least, before August drafts. Until then, Adams obviously carries more risk than he would with Rodgers harmony.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Packers WR Davante Adams has been activated from the COVID list. He'll be back for Sunday's game vs. the Chiefs -- albeit without QB Aaron Rodgers. In 8 games Rodgers missed all or most of back in 2017 (with Brett Hundley under center), Adams averaged 8.9 targets, 5.8 catches, 68 yards and .6 TDs. See where he sits in the Week 9 WR Rankings.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

Packers WRs Davante Adams and Allen Lazard were not activated from the COVID list ahead of the 4 pm ET deadline and are out for tonight's game vs. the Cardinals. WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (hamstring) was not activated from IR and is also out. Green Bay did activate WR Malik Taylor from the COVID list and elevated WR Juwann Winfree from the practice squad. So the Packers' WRs tonight are Randall Cobb, Equaniemous St. Brown, Amari Rodgers, Taylor and Winfree.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter confirms that Packers WR Davante Adams (COVID) is "unlikely" to play vs. the Cardinals on Thursday night. Adams hasn't officially been ruled out yet, but he didn't travel with the team to Arizona on Wednesday and should be on fantasy benches. WR Allen Lazard is definitely out for Thursday night's game because he's unvaccinated.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

The Packers have placed WR Davante Adams on the COVID list. With their Week 8 game coming Thursday night in Arizona, that almost certainly means Adams will miss the game, regardless of his particular situation. That leaves Green Bay without the guy who has drawn 33% of Aaron Rodgers' pass attempts to date. It also leaves Randall Cobb and Allen Lazard as the top wideouts, with Equanimeous St. Brown likely factoring in as well. We'll see whether WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling is ready to come off IR.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

The Packers and WR Davante Adams have broken off contract-extension talks and are "in a bad place," according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. There's no mention of a holdout here, but it's obviously not an ideal situation with training camp about to get going. We'll see where this goes. It's still unclear, of course, whether Adams and the Packers will have QB Aaron Rodgers this season.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

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