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Davante Adams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Basic Stats

Davante Adams
ADP: 1.10
Bye: 6
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 29.5
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56
Speed Score: 98.10
SPARQx (Rank): 108.50 (63%)
Burst Score (Rank): 128.70 (85%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.12 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.25 (86%)

Davante Adams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Wide Receiver

197 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.10 107.8 1336.1 10.9 3.3 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Adams was traded from the Packers to the Raiders in March in exchange for 2022 1st- and 2nd-round picks.
  • Vegas immediately signed Adams to a 5-year, $140 million contract with $65.7 million guaranteed. He’s the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary, behind only Tyreek Hill.
  • Adams remained as dominant as ever last season, setting career highs with 123 catches and 1,553 yards and scoring 11 times.
  • Here’s where he ranked in some key metrics among 90 WRs with 50+ targets:
    • 17th in yards per target
    • 3rd in yards per route run
    • 2nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 14th in Football Outsiders DVOA
  • Adams leads the NFL in receptions, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the last 4 seasons – despite missing 7 games.
  • His finishes in half-PPR points per game:
    • 2018 - 1st
    • 2019 - 5th
    • 2020 - 1st
    • 2021 - 3rd
  • Adams gets a QB downgrade going from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr.
  • But Carr is no slouch.
    • He’s coming off a 4,804-yard season on a 68.4% completion rate and 7.7 yards per attempt. Those marks ranked 5th, 5th and 7th league-wide.
    • He ranked 12th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 passing grades. (Rodgers ranked 3rd.)
    • Among 30 QBs with 1,000+ attempts over the past 4 seasons, Carr ranks:
      • 2nd in completion rate
      • 13th in yards per attempt
      • 13th in adjusted yards per attempt
      • 14th in QB Rating
  • Adams played 2 seasons with Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs on 233 receptions.
  • Adams faces tougher target competition in Vegas than he did for the past 4 years in Green Bay.
    • Hunter Renfrow is coming off a 128-target, 103-catch 2021 season. He ranked 16th among 90 qualifying WRs in PFF receiving grade.
    • Darren Waller missed 6 games and most of a 7th last year. But he averaged 9.1 targets in his 11 healthy outings (including playoffs). Waller averaged 8.2 targets per game across the previous 2 seasons.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow
  • We’re projecting the 2022 Raiders to finish among the top 10 in pass rate.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Adams has a new offense to learn and tougher target competition in Vegas than he’s had recently in Green Bay.

But he’s familiar with QB Derek Carr from their 2 years together in college, remained elite last year and is getting paid like an alpha WR.

While we’re projecting his volume and production to decline a bit from last season, Adams still looks like a locked-in WR1 with top 5 upside in Vegas.

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Davante Adams, WR LVR

7:30pm EDT 3/17/22

Packers trading Adams

Both Adam Schefter and Ian Rapoport report that the Packers are trading WR Davante Adams to the Raiders. Rapoport says Vegas is dealing a 1st-round pick "potentially more picks and a player," while Schefter says "two prime 2022 picks" are involved. Both also report that Adams is getting a 5-year contract from his new team that will make him the highest paid WR ever. The move reunites Adams with QB Derek Carr, who he played with at Fresno State. Adams, of course, has spent nearly all of his pro career to date working with QB Aaron Rodgers. The Packers QB, meanwhile, is now left without a lead WR. The trade has reportedly been quietly in the works for days, so we'll assume this news isn't being broken to Rodgers. We'll see how Green Bay addresses its pass-catching corps for 2022 (and beyond) after keeping Rodgers in town this offseason with an extension. Adams loses some draft value, for both the general uncertainty and joining an offense that has treated TE Darren Waller as the clear lead target in recent years. Adams should easily snatch the lead wideout role from 2021 target leader Hunter Renfrow, but we'd bet Adams' target ceiling coming down. Waller loses some target upside as well but should be operating in the best pass offense he's been in to date. We're not moving him significantly in 2022 outlook right now.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

NFL Network reports that WR Davante Adams has told the Packers he doesn't plan to play under the franchise tag this season. The veteran is seeking a long-term deal as he heads into his 9th NFL season, which will find him turning 30 in December. Adams won't be required to show up for any team activities until he signs his tender, so there's potential for a training-camp/preseason holdout if the 2 sides can't nail down an agreement. Green Bay has already reportedly offered money that would make Adams the highest-paid WR by annual salary, so we'd guess they get something done. We'll keep watch on the situation, though.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

The Packers have applied the franchise tag to WR Davante Adams, keeping him off the free-agent market. The 2 sides will likely try to work out a longer-term deal, especially after Green Bay extended QB Aaron Rodgers. For fantasy football purposes, though, we can comfortably bet on Adams sticking with the Packers for at least 2022 (with his QB). Adams remains 1 of the safest early picks across fantasy formats.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

Packers RB Aaron Jones (knee) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Lions. He’d likely be playing if this game meant anything to Green Bay and should be back for the playoffs. All of the Packers’ other regulars on offense are active, although it’s unclear how much guys like Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams will play.

View all Aaron Jones Shark Bites »

Despite locking up the NFC's #1 seed with their win on Sunday night over Minnesota, Packers HC Matt LaFleur said Monday that he plans to play his staters vs. the Lions this weekend. "Right now the mindset is we're going to play our guys, and we're going to approach it like any other game," LaFleur said. Color us skeptical -- especially when it comes to QB Aaron Rodgers, who's still playing through that toe injury. We'll look for further updates on Rodgers, WR Davante Adams and RBs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Davante Adams, WR LVR
Dynasty MVP 156.4
Position Rank #6 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
562
887
1,047
Dynasty Write-up
The Raiders paid quite a bit in draft picks and contract to acquire Adams, so we'd bet on him keeping target-hog status in his new home. He'll face more competition in Vegas, though, than he did in recent Green Bay seasons. Adams will turn 30 in late December and appears locked in with the Raiders through at least 2024.

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