Adams Returns to the Same Role
Adams projects cleanly as the No. 2 target behind Nacua.
The Rams let Tutu Atwell walk in free agency and added only Round 6 WR CJ Daniels this offseason. Returning WRs Jordan Whittington and Konata Mumpfield supply unproven depth with only 263 combined yards in 2025.
The TE room looks deep, with Round 2 pick Max Klare joining Colby Parkinson, Terrance Ferguson, and Tyler Higbee. That group shouldn't threaten Adams' target volume much, but it could cap his snap and route rates. The Rams led the league with a 30.5% rate of “13” personnel (three TEs) last year. Per SumerSports, Adams played only 23.5% of those snaps in his games.
Adams’ 2025 performance made one thing clear: He should remain a central red-zone piece.
McVay Remains in Charge
OC Mike LaFleur took the HC job in Arizona, but there shouldn’t be much of an impact on Adams.
HC Sean McVay will keep calling plays for a unit that’s finished top-10 in passing yards in four of Stafford’s five Rams seasons. The lone exception came in 2022, when Stafford missed seven games with a spinal cord injury.
Paths To Ceiling
The path was clear in 2025: Adams dominated red-zone work, led the league in receiving TDs, and finished WR9 in PPR.
You can’t bank on another 14 scores on a bloated 23.3% TD rate. That mark came in well ahead of his pre-2025 TD rate of 10.7%, but even that lower mark sits well above average for the position. Adams has delivered seven seasons of double-digit TDs across three teams.
He’s as good a TD bet as any WR in the league, and McVay’s Rams remain among the league’s best bets as a scoring offense. We’re projecting 10 TDs for Adams, tied for second-most among WRs.
Risk Factors
Our historical aging curves show WR decline picking up at 33. On average, WRs produce at 78% of peak at that age, down from 86% at 32. And although Adams’ Dec. 24 birthday means he’ll play nearly all of this season at 33, it technically makes this his age-34 campaign (by traditional age tracking).
Adams will also need to dodge another soft tissue injury after missing games with hamstring injuries in back to back seasons.
Matthew Stafford’s health is the other wild card. He played at an MVP level last year, but he’s 38 with a history of back injuries, and the entire offense depends on him staying healthy. Stafford has lost just one game to injury across the past three seasons, though, so he shouldn’t downgrade your Adams outlook.