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Davante Adams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Basic Stats

Davante Adams
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 30.1
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56
Speed Score: 98.10
SPARQx (Rank): 108.50 (63%)
Burst Score (Rank): 128.70 (85%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.12 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.25 (86%)

Davante Adams's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Davante Adams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Wide Receiver

195.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 102.8 1234 12 3.1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Adams was traded from the Packers to the Raiders in March in exchange for 2022 1st- and 2nd-round picks.
  • Vegas immediately signed Adams to a 5-year, $140 million contract with $65.7 million guaranteed. He’s the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary, behind only Tyreek Hill.
  • Adams remained as dominant as ever last season, setting career highs with 123 catches and 1,553 yards and scoring 11 times.
  • Here’s where he ranked in some key metrics among 90 WRs with 50+ targets:
    • 17th in yards per target
    • 3rd in yards per route run
    • 2nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 14th in Football Outsiders DVOA
  • Adams leads the NFL in receptions, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the last 4 seasons – despite missing 7 games.
  • His finishes in half-PPR points per game:
    • 2018 - 1st
    • 2019 - 5th
    • 2020 - 1st
    • 2021 - 3rd
  • Adams gets a QB downgrade going from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr.
  • But Carr is no slouch.
    • He’s coming off a 4,804-yard season on a 68.4% completion rate and 7.7 yards per attempt. Those marks ranked 5th, 5th and 7th league-wide.
    • He ranked 12th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 passing grades. (Rodgers ranked 3rd.)
    • Among 30 QBs with 1,000+ attempts over the past 4 seasons, Carr ranks:
      • 2nd in completion rate
      • 13th in yards per attempt
      • 13th in adjusted yards per attempt
      • 14th in QB Rating
  • Adams played 2 seasons with Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs on 233 receptions.
  • Adams faces tougher target competition in Vegas than he did for the past 4 years in Green Bay.
    • Hunter Renfrow is coming off a 128-target, 103-catch 2021 season. He ranked 16th among 90 qualifying WRs in PFF receiving grade.
    • Darren Waller missed 6 games and most of a 7th last year. But he averaged 9.1 targets in his 11 healthy outings (including playoffs). Waller averaged 8.2 targets per game across the previous 2 seasons.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow
  • We’re projecting the 2022 Raiders to finish among the top 10 in pass rate.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Adams has a new offense to learn and tougher target competition in Vegas than he’s had recently in Green Bay.

But he’s familiar with QB Derek Carr from their 2 years together in college, remained elite last year and is getting paid like an alpha WR.

While we’re projecting his volume and production to decline a bit from last season, Adams still looks like a locked-in WR1 with top 5 upside in Vegas.

Adjust Davante Adams's Projections

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Derek Carr, QB LVR

8:10am EST 12/25/22

Carr stinks at Pittsburgh

Raiders QB Derek Carr went just 16 of 30 passing for 174 yards in Saturday night's loss to the Steelers. He threw just 1 TD pass -- to WR Hunter Renfrow -- and 3 INTs while taking 3 sacks. WR Davante Adams managed only 2 receptions for 15 yards on a team-high 9 targets. TE Darren Waller led Vegas with 58 receiving yards on 4 catches. Renfrow matched him with 4 receptions for 42 yards. The Raiders head back home to face a difficult 49ers defense in Week 17.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr threw for a modest 231 yards in Sunday's win over the Patriots but also tallied 3 TDs. He found WR Mack Hollins, TE Darren Waller and WR Keenan Cole for scores. Waller caught all 3 of his targets for 48 yards in his 1st game since Week 5. Hollins tied WR Davante Adams for the team lead with just 4 receptions. Adams (9) and Hollins (8) were the only 2 Raiders to draw more than 3 targets. Week 16 brings a matchup with Pittsburgh, which hit Sunday as a near-neutral scoring matchup for QBs.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Davante Adams delivered an 8-177-2 receiving line in Sunday's win over the Chargers. Those numbers accounted for 40% of Raiders targets, 50% of completions, 71% of the receiving yards and 67% of the offense's total TDs. WR Mack Hollins checked in as the 2nd-leading receiver with 5-35 on 9 targets. RB Josh Jacobs (2) and TE Foster Moreau (1) claimed QB Derek Carr's remaining 3 completions. The Raiders now visit the Rams on Thursday night.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr amassed 295 yards and 3 TDs in Sunday's OT win at Seattle. He hit WR Mack Hollins (4-63 receiving), RB Ameer Abdullah (3-39) and TE Foster Moreau (3-33) for TDs. Carr also tossed a pair of INTs, but he has posted his 2 best fantasy scores of the season in his past 2 games.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Davante Adams racked up 141 yards and 2 TDs on 7 catches among 13 targets. He claimed both of the team's TDs, scoring from 31 and 35 yards out. The latter won the game in OT. WR Mack Hollins followed with 6-52 receiving on 9 targets. No other Raider exceeded 4 targets. TE Foster Moreau caught just 1 pass for the game, though it was a 33-yarder in OT to set up the Adams play.

View all Davante Adams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Davante Adams, WR LVR
Dynasty MVP 134.0
Position Rank #20 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
558
720
720
Dynasty Write-up
The Raiders paid quite a bit in draft picks and contract to acquire Adams. Still, he returned immediate value with a top-5 fantasy season. Now 30, Adams probably only has a couple of years left with a WR1 outlook. Plus, QB and long-time friend Derek Carr is likely to depart this offseason.
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