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Davante Adams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Basic Stats

Davante Adams
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 29.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.56
Speed Score: 98.10
SPARQx (Rank): 108.50 (63%)
Burst Score (Rank): 128.70 (85%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.12 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.25 (86%)

Davante Adams's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.1 82.1 0.7 12.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.4 86.6 0.7 12.7

Davante Adams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#4 Wide Receiver

189.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 102.8 1274 10.7 3.2 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavante Adams's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Adams was traded from the Packers to the Raiders in March in exchange for 2022 1st- and 2nd-round picks.
  • Vegas immediately signed Adams to a 5-year, $140 million contract with $65.7 million guaranteed. He’s the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary, behind only Tyreek Hill.
  • Adams remained as dominant as ever last season, setting career highs with 123 catches and 1,553 yards and scoring 11 times.
  • Here’s where he ranked in some key metrics among 90 WRs with 50+ targets:
    • 17th in yards per target
    • 3rd in yards per route run
    • 2nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 14th in Football Outsiders DVOA
  • Adams leads the NFL in receptions, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the last 4 seasons – despite missing 7 games.
  • His finishes in half-PPR points per game:
    • 2018 - 1st
    • 2019 - 5th
    • 2020 - 1st
    • 2021 - 3rd
  • Adams gets a QB downgrade going from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr.
  • But Carr is no slouch.
    • He’s coming off a 4,804-yard season on a 68.4% completion rate and 7.7 yards per attempt. Those marks ranked 5th, 5th and 7th league-wide.
    • He ranked 12th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 passing grades. (Rodgers ranked 3rd.)
    • Among 30 QBs with 1,000+ attempts over the past 4 seasons, Carr ranks:
      • 2nd in completion rate
      • 13th in yards per attempt
      • 13th in adjusted yards per attempt
      • 14th in QB Rating
  • Adams played 2 seasons with Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs on 233 receptions.
  • Adams faces tougher target competition in Vegas than he did for the past 4 years in Green Bay.
    • Hunter Renfrow is coming off a 128-target, 103-catch 2021 season. He ranked 16th among 90 qualifying WRs in PFF receiving grade.
    • Darren Waller missed 6 games and most of a 7th last year. But he averaged 9.1 targets in his 11 healthy outings (including playoffs). Waller averaged 8.2 targets per game across the previous 2 seasons.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow
  • We’re projecting the 2022 Raiders to finish among the top 10 in pass rate.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Adams has a new offense to learn and tougher target competition in Vegas than he’s had recently in Green Bay.

But he’s familiar with QB Derek Carr from their 2 years together in college, remained elite last year and is getting paid like an alpha WR.

While we’re projecting his volume and production to decline a bit from last season, Adams still looks like a locked-in WR1 with top 5 upside in Vegas.

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Hunter Renfrow, WR LVR

7:48pm EDT 9/30/22

Renfrow out for Week 4

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow (concussion) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Broncos. He’s yet to return to practice, so consider him iffy for Week 5. Vegas will also be without TE Foster Moreau (knee) this weekend, boosting the target projections for WR Davante Adams, TE Darren Waller and WR Mack Hollins.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow (concussion) remained sidelined on Thursday. He's looking like a long shot to make it back for this weekend's game vs. the Broncos. That's good news for the target outlooks of Davante Adams, Darren Waller and Mack Hollins, who's coming off a big Week 3.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Mack Hollins matched WR Davante Adams for the team target lead (10) in Sunday's loss to the Titans, but he blew away Adams in production. Hollins caught 8 balls for 158 yards and a TD, compared with a pedestrian 5-36-1 line for Adams. Hollins certainly benefited from WR Hunter Renfrow being out but also edged Renfrow in routes in each of the 1st 2 games. We're not betting on more outings like this from Hollins, but he's also not a great bet to disappear from relevance.

View all Mack Hollins Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow (concussion) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Titans. We’ll see if he can get cleared for Week 4. Renfrow’s absence will leave Tyron Johnson and Keelan Cole as Vegas’ #3 and #4 WRs behind Davante Adams and Mack Hollins. Adams and TE Darren Waller should dominate Raiders targets this weekend.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow (concussion) remained sidelined on Thursday. He's now looking like a long shot to play vs. the Titans this weekend. We'll see how Vegas replaces Renfrow's slot snaps. WRs Tyron Johnson and Keelan Cole are behind primary outside WRs Davante Adams and Mack Hollins.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Davante Adams, WR LVR
Dynasty MVP 150.5
Position Rank #8 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
541
853
1,008
Dynasty Write-up
The Raiders paid quite a bit in draft picks and contract to acquire Adams, so we'd bet on him keeping target-hog status in his new home. He'll face more competition in Vegas, though, than he did in recent Green Bay seasons. Adams will turn 30 in late December and appears locked in with the Raiders through at least 2024.

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