Jaguars-Jets weather update

The forecast for tonight’s Jaguars-Jets game calls for light rain early, potentially getting heavier throughout the night. The bigger concern is the wind. We’re looking at sustained 15-20 mph winds with gusts of 30+ mph. It's ugly weather that figures to impact the passing and kicking games — while also possibly pushing both teams to run more than they would in better conditions. We’ve updated our Jaguars and Jets projections for the forecast.

The Jets are hiring Nathaniel Hackett as their new OC, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. Hackett was a disaster as Denver's HC this past season but had a successful stint as Green Bay's OC the previous 3 years. The Packers finished middle of the pack in total yards and points in Hackett's 1st season but climbed into the top 10 in both categories in 2020 and 2021. Those teams, of course, were quarterbacked by Aaron Rodgers, who's a big fan of Hackett. This move was presumably made by the Jets at least in part to help their chances of luring Rodgers to New York.

The Seahawks haven't played particularly well overall on defense this season, but they have given WRs difficulty in fantasy football. Seattle stands as the worst matchup for the position by adjusted fantasy points allowed. No WR has reached 10 PPR points against the Seahawks since Week 13. No WR has reached 75 yards receiving against them since Week 7, and just 3 have gotten there all season. Rookie CB Tariq Woolen has been the biggest factor, limiting players to a 56.4% catch rate and 74.6 passer rating on balls thrown into his coverage, according to Pro Football Focus. The matchup doesn't come close to knocking Jets lead WR Garrett Wilson out of starter range in our Week 17 fantasy football rankings. But it's well worth noting for DFS lineup-building. And we wouldn't go chasing any other Jets wideouts. The difficult matchup for WRs combined with the league-best scoring matchup for TEs could also turn Jets TE Tyler Conklin into a Week 17 sleeper.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson racked up 162 yards on 8 catches in Sunday's loss to the Vikings. His target count (15) was helped by QB Mike White attempting 57 passes for the game. But Wilson still claimed a 26.3% share. WR Corey Davis ranked 2nd with 10 targets, catching 5 for 85 yards. TE Tyler Conklin tied RB Ty Johnson for 3rd with 7 targets. WR Elijah Moore caught only 2 of 6 targets for 7 yards. The Jets travel to Buffalo in Week 14.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson went off for 5 grabs, 95 yards and 2 scores against Chicago in Week 12. Wilson immediately came to life with a pair of 1st-half TDs from QB Mike White, who made his first start of 2022. The rookie’s 8 targets easily led all pass catchers and made up a 28.5% team share. We’ve seen this type of upside before, as Wilson entered with 3 games of 90+ yards. With White sticking as the starer, Wilson will profile as a useable WR3/FLEX against Minnesota in Week 13.

Jets WRs combined for only 64 yards in an ugly Week 11 loss to New England. Zach Wilson went just 9 of 22 for 77 yards in one of the worst displays of QB play you’ll find all year. A tough matchup with New England didn’t help, but there was simply nothing positive to takeaway here. Denzel Mims (2-35) led the team in receiving, while Elijah Moore (2-17) remained a part-timer (54% snap share). Most disappointingly, Garrett Wilson registered only 2 catches for 12 yards on 3 targets. This unit will look to rebound Sunday against Chicago. We’ll see if Wilson gets the nod under center.