Show Navigation
Show Menu

DFS

DFS Showdown Tips: Browns-Ravens

By Matt Schauf 6:40pm EST 11/28/21


The 1st question for building lineups tonight centers on 2 injuries.

Are Kareem Hunt and Marquise Brown ready to play? The answer for both is expected to be yes, but we’ll need to check the inactives to confirm before finalizing our lineups.

The next question: How should we expect this game to go?

With Lamar Jackson back from his Week 11 illness, Baltimore is a 3-point home favorite. That number has come down a half-point from where the Vegas line opened, perhaps in part because of Hunt’s anticipated return from IR.

Unfortunately, we don’t have any matchup from this season to help set our expectations. Last year’s 2 meetings found the Ravens loading up on points: 38 in their season-opening clash, then 47 in the Week 14 rematch.

Lamar Jackson notoriously took a break into the locker room in the midst of that meeting but returned to pilot the final 2 scoring drives. He racked up 124 rushing yards and 3 total TDs in that contest. He had thrown 3 TD passes in 3 straight meetings before that.

Cleveland hits this round with a pair of good defensive performances among its past 3 outings. But those games sandwiched the team’s worst defensive outing of the year -- by Football Outsiders’ DVOA -- in a loss to the Patriots.

Let’s check tonight’s values …


DraftKings


Latavius Murray pops as the top DK value in our chart, but that doesn’t necessarily make him a better play than Devonta Freeman. The key difference between them is that Freeman costs nearly twice as much in showdown salary on DK. Freeman remained the backfield leader last week, though, with Murray’s return from an ankle sprain. He played 47 snaps to Murray’s 30, logged 16 carries to Murray’s 10 and easily beat out Murray in passing-game usage. Freeman played 30 such snaps vs. 16 for Murray and tied for 2nd on the team with 6 targets (catching all of them).

Cleveland has been tougher in run D than vs. the pass this season, but the Browns have gotten worse in that area lately. The past 4 games have included 4 of their 5 worst rush-defense performances -- by DVOA -- including the worst and 3rd worst over the past 2 games.

The Browns’ offense, of course, has looked even rougher. But a large part of that has been the backfield health issues. In addition to the calf injury that has kept Kareem Hunt out since Week 6, Chubb has loss time to his own calf injury and COVID.

Hunt saw 13 targets across last year’s 2 meetings with Baltimore and returns to find a Baltimore D dealing with injuries at every level. There’s upside here.

Chubb only got 10 carries in the Week 1 blowout loss but rebounded for a 17-82-2 rushing line in the 2nd (plus 2 catches for 21 more yards). Baltimore’s run D this season has been up and down.

The Ravens have proved friendly to TE scoring, allowing the 4th most PPR points per game to the position. The notably held Dolphins “TE” Mike Gesicki without a catch on 7 targets in the Week 11 Thursday-night clash, but Gesicki faced CB coverage on most of his routes.

Browns TE Austin Hooper should see more traditional TE coverage and thus finds a favorable setting for fantasy upside -- especially with Baltimore missing starting safety DeShon Elliott (IR).


FanDuel


Even if Marquise Brown is good to go, it’s tough to say he’s a better play than Rashod Bateman here, at $4000 more in salary. Bateman has yet to see fewer than 6 targets in a game. His target share had been even stronger before last week’s Tyler Huntley game.

Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content Premium Content2022 QB Strength of Schedule

2022 QB Strength of Schedule

3:15pm EDT 6/22/22

Before you draft Joe Burrow, you might want to know something about his fantasy football schedule ...

Read More »
Marquise Brown a Perfect Fit in Arizona

Marquise Brown a Perfect Fit in Arizona

10:00am EDT 6/16/22

Marquise Brown reunites with his former college QB in Arizona and has a shot to post the best fantasy season of his career.

Read More »
FFPC Dynasty Startup Recap

FFPC Dynasty Startup Recap

6:10am EDT 6/4/22

How should you attack a dynasty startup draft? Here's how Matt's doing so in a new best-ball, superflex league on FFPC ...

Read More »
Podcast: Best-Ball ADP Value Check 5-18-22

Podcast: Best-Ball ADP Value Check 5-18-22

10:50am EDT 5/19/22

Matt and Jared look to ADPs from Underdog, FFPC, DraftKings and others to reveal current sleepers in the market and some guys going WAY too early ...

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentNFL Draft Impact: Dynasty Winners and Losers

NFL Draft Impact: Dynasty Winners and Losers

10:39am EDT 5/6/22

Take a peek at 21 risers and fallers following the 2022 NFL Draft.

Read More »
Podcast: NFL Draft Round 1 Reactions 4-30-22

Podcast: NFL Draft Round 1 Reactions 4-30-22

10:30am EDT 5/4/22

Two big WR trades add juice to an NFL Draft 1st round with abnormally low fantasy impact.

Read More »
My TE Shares in Early Underdog Best-Ball Drafts

My TE Shares in Early Underdog Best-Ball Drafts

12:40pm EDT 4/12/22

Where can you find the top fantasy football draft values at this position? The optimal plan might just be Dallas Goedert and chill.

Read More »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2022 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2022 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2022 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play