The Chiefs made a big move up in the 1st round from pick #27 to #10 to select Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes. He put up video-game numbers over the past 2 seasons, compiling 9,705 passing yards and 77 TDs. That, of course, came in Texas Tech’s Air Raid offense — a system that hasn’t produced NFL QBs. Mahomes might be the exception, though. He has a cannon for an arm and a true gunslinger’s mentality. Think Brett Favre or Jay Cutler. Mahomes is also a plus athlete, registering a SPARQ score in the 70th percentile at his position. He figures to spend 2017 holding a clipboard for QB Alex Smith. But Smith will be 34 years old and owed $17 million when 2018 rolls around, so bet on Mahomes taking over then.

Recent Shark Bites

The forecast for today's Jaguars-Chiefs game calls for periods of heavy rain. The good news is that winds are expected to be only 6-7 mph. They aren't ideal conditions, but it's not enough for us to adjust our projections for these passing games. You might use the weather as a tiebreaker if deciding between 2 similarly ranked players, though.

Chiefs HC Andy Reid announced Wednesday that QB Patrick Mahomes will start this weekend's finale against the Broncos. Kansas City is locked into the AFC's #4 seed and has nothing to gain on Sunday. We doubt that RB Kareem Hunt, WR Tyreek Hill or TE Travis Kelce play much, if at all. That makes Mahomes tougher to like -- especially in a tough spot in Denver.

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