Show Navigation
Show Menu

Draft Strategy

Playoff Rankings

By Draft Sharks Staff 1:01pm EST 1/4/21


Correctly predicting how many games each team will play is just as important to winning your playoff-long fantasy league as player selection. Maybe more important. More games = more fantasy points.

The landscape is a bit different this year with 14 teams, rather than 12, advancing to the postseason. The #1 seeds have a bigger advantage as the only teams getting 1st-round byes.

Who are the favorites to advance to the Super Bowl? Here are a few different metrics to point us in the right direction:

Odds to advance to the Super Bowl (courtesy of FanDuel sports book):


Football Outsiders playoff predictions:


Five Thirty Eight playoff predictions:


The Chiefs are the biggest favorite to make it to the Super Bowl according to all 3 sources. The Bills look like their biggest challenger, with the Ravens a potential AFC dark horse.

The NFC is more wide open. The Packers are the favorites, but the Saints, Bucs and Seahawks are all live to win the conference.

The rankings below are based on chalk: Chiefs over Bills in the AFC; Packers over Saints in the NFC. You can move guys up or down if you expect different teams to advance.


Top 60 Overall

1. Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs

2. Davante Adams, WR, Packers

3. Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs

4. Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills

5. Aaron Jones, RB, Packers

6. Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints (Questionable, COVID)

7. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs

8. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers

9. Josh Allen, QB, Bills

10. Michael Thomas, WR, Saints (Questionable, ankle)

11. Derrick Henry, RB, Titans

12. Tom Brady, QB, Bucs

13. Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens

14. Chris Godwin, WR, Bucs

15. Antonio Brown, WR, Bucs

16. Chris Carson, RB, Seahawks

17. Ronald Jones, RB, Bucs

18. J.K. Dobbins, RB, Ravens

19. D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seahawks

20. Mike Evans, WR, Bucs (Questionable, knee)

21. Diontae Johnson, WR, Steelers

22. A.J. Brown, WR, Titans

23. Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens

24. Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks

25. Drew Brees, QB, Saints

26. Marquise Brown, WR, Ravens

27. Tyler Lockett, WR, Seahawks

28. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Steelers

29. Chase Claypool, WR, Steelers

30. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs (Questionable, ankle/hip)

31. Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts

32. Nick Chubb, RB, Browns

33. Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers

34. Ryan Tannehill, QB, Titans

35. Robert Tonyan, TE, Packers

36. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Bucs

37. John Brown, WR, Bills

38. Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Saints

39. Cole Beasley, WR, Bills (Questionable, knee)

40. Allen Robinson, WR, Bears

41. Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington

42. Latavius Murray, RB, Saints

43. David Montgomery, RB, Bears

44. Corey Davis, WR, Titans

45. Jarvis Landry, WR, Browns

46. Zack Moss, RB, Bills

47. Devin Singletary, RB, Bills

48. Gus Edwards, RB, Ravens

49. Cam Akers, RB, Rams

50. Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington

51. Jared Cook, TE, Saints

52. Logan Thomas, TE, Washington

53. Eric Ebron, TE, Steelers

54. T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts

55. Robert Woods, WR, Rams

56. Mitchell Trubisky, QB, Bears

57. Philip Rivers, QB, Colts

58. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Chiefs

59. Darrel Williams, RB, Chiefs

60. Allen Lazard, WR, Packers


QBs

1. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs

2. Aaron Rodgers, Packers

3. Josh Allen, Bills

4. Tom Brady, Bucs

5. Lamar Jackson, Ravens

6. Russell Wilson, Seahawks

7. Drew Brees, Saints

8. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers

9. Ryan Tannehill, Titans

10. Mitchell Trubisky, Bears

11. Philip Rivers, Colts

12. Baker Mayfield, Browns

13. Alex Smith, Washington

14. John Wolford, Rams


RBs

1. Aaron Jones, Packers

2. Alvin Kamara, Saints (Questionable, COVID)

3. Derrick Henry, Titans

4. Chris Carson, Seahawks

5. Ronald Jones, Bucs

6. J.K. Dobbins, Ravens

7. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chiefs (Questionable, ankle/hip)

8. Jonathan Taylor, Colts

9. Nick Chubb, Browns

10. Latavius Murray, Saints

11. David Montgomery, Bears

12. Zack Moss, Bills

13. Devin Singletary, Bills

14. Gus Edwards, Ravens

15. Cam Akers, Rams

16. Antonio Gibson, Washington

17. Le'Veon Bell, Chiefs

18. Darrel Williams, Chiefs

19. Kareem Hunt, Browns

20. James Conner, Steelers

21. J.D. McKissic, Washington

22. Nyheim Hines, Colts

23. Jamaal Williams, Packers

24. Carlos Hyde, Seahawks

25. Leonard Fournette, Bucs

26. Malcolm Brown, Rams

27. Darrell Henderson, Rams (Questionable, ankle)

28. Rashaad Penny, Seahawks

29. Benny Snell, Steelers

30. Mark Ingram, Ravens

31. Cordarrelle Patterson, Bears

32. Ty Montgomery, Saints


WRs

1. Davante Adams, Packers

2. Tyreek Hill, Chiefs

3. Stefon Diggs, Bills

4. Michael Thomas, Saints (Questionable, ankle)

5. Chris Godwin, Bucs

6. Antonio Brown, Bucs

7. D.K. Metcalf, Seahawks

8. Mike Evans, Bucs (Questionable, knee)

9. Diontae Johnson, Steelers

10. A.J. Brown, Titans

11. Marquise Brown, Ravens

12. Tyler Lockett, Seahawks

13. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Steelers

14. Chase Claypool, Steelers

15. John Brown, Bills

16. Emmanuel Sanders, Saints

17. Cole Beasley, Bills (Questionable, knee)

18. Allen Robinson, Bears

19. Terry McLaurin, Washington

20. Corey Davis, Titans

21. Jarvis Landry, Browns

22. T.Y. Hilton, Colts

23. Robert Woods, Rams

24. Allen Lazard, Packers

25. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Packers

26. Sammy Watkins, Chiefs (Questionable, calf)

27. Cooper Kupp, Rams (Questionable, COVID)

28. Mecole Hardman, Chiefs

29. Zach Pascal, Colts

30. Josh Reynolds, Rams

31. Van Jefferson, Rams

32. Michael Pittman, Colts

33. Demarcus Robinson, Chiefs

34. Gabriel Davis, Bills

35. Darnell Mooney, Bears

36. Scotty Miller, Bucs

37. Rashard Higgins, Browns

38. Cam Sims, Washington

39. Anthony Miller, Bears

40. Willie Snead, Ravens (Questionable, ankle)

41. James Washington, Steelers

42. Tre'Quan Smith, Saints (Questionable, ankle)

43. Marquez Callaway, Saints

44. Miles Boykin, Ravens

45. David Moore, Seahawks

46. Freddie Swain, Seahawks

47. Donovan Peoples-Jones, Browns


TEs

1. Travis Kelce, Chiefs

2. Mark Andrews, Ravens

3. Robert Tonyan, Packers

4. Rob Gronkowski, Bucs

5. Jared Cook, Saints

6. Logan Thomas, Washington

7. Eric Ebron, Steelers

8. Dawson Knox, Bills

9. Austin Hooper, Browns

10. Jonnu Smith, Titans

11. Jacob Hollister, Seahawks

12. Cole Kmet, Bears

13. Tyler Higbee, Rams

14. Gerald Everett, Rams

15. Jimmy Graham, Bears

16. Will Dissly, Seahawks

17. Jack Doyle, Colts

18. Trey Burton, Colts

19. Cameron Brate, Bucs

20. Anthony Firkser, Titans

21. Mo Alie-Cox, Colts


Ks

1. Harrison Butker, Chiefs

2. Mason Crosby, Packers

3. Tyler Bass, Bills

4. Justin Tucker, Ravens

5. Wil Lutz, Saints

6. Ryan Succop, Bucs

7. Jason Myers, Seahawks

8. Chris Boswell, Steelers (Questionable, groin)

9. Stephen Gostkowski, Titans (Questionable, COVID)

10. Rodrigo Blankenship, Colts

11. Matt Gay, Rams

12. Cody Parkey, Browns

13. Cairo Santos, Bears

14. Dustin Hopkins, Washington


DSTs

1. Chiefs

2. Saints

3. Packers

4. Steelers

5. Bucs

6. Seahawks

7. Bills

8. Ravens

9. Washington

10. Rams

11. Browns

12. Bears

13. Colts

14. Titans


Related Fantasy Football

Premium Content Premium ContentFull-Playoffs Rankings (Divisional Round edition)

Full-Playoffs Rankings (Divisional Round edition)

1:40pm EST 1/18/22

Still drafting in these NFL playoffs? Let these rankings start you down the right path.

Read More »
Podcast: FFPC Playoff Challenge Strategy 1-12-22

Podcast: FFPC Playoff Challenge Strategy 1-12-22

1:40pm EST 1/13/22

How can you win this year's FFPC Playoff Challenge?

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentFFPC Playoff Challenge Strategy

FFPC Playoff Challenge Strategy

9:54am EST 1/13/22

$500K is up for grabs in the FFPC's Playoff Challenge. Here's how to attack this unique contest.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentPlayoff IDP Rankings

Playoff IDP Rankings

9:10am EST 1/11/22

Heading into a fantasy football draft for the NFL playoffs ... that includes IDPs? Nice. (And we've got you covered.)

Read More »
Deep End Episode 12: Terminator Draft Recap

Deep End Episode 12: Terminator Draft Recap

11:09am EDT 9/8/21

Adam brings in Louie Gee to recap an FFPC draft for a different kinda format ...

Read More »
Podcast: Draft Movers with Josh Norris 9-3-21

Podcast: Draft Movers with Josh Norris 9-3-21

1:09pm EDT 9/3/21

Josh Norris of Underdog Fantasy joins us to talk about some of the biggest changes to player values and situations that you need to think about before you're on the clock in your fantasy football draft.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentPerfect Draft: 12-Team Non-PPR (Updated Sept. 3)

Perfect Draft: 12-Team Non-PPR (Updated Sept. 3)

11:09am EDT 9/3/21

A round-by-round game plan for your 12-team non-PPR draft.

Read More »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2021 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2021 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2021 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play