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Playoff Rankings

By Alex Korff 2:31pm EST 1/9/23

With the regular season officially in the rearview, the quest for the Lombardi Trophy begins. There’s not much certainty outside of the top handful of teams who made it to the NFL playoffs. Which team will emerge with the title?

Vegas odds have the Chiefs (+350) and Bills (+400) neck and neck as the Super Bowl favorites, closely followed by the 49ers (+500) and Eagles (+550). (Odds may differ depending on your source.)

FiveThirtyEight’s model has it similarly, with the Chiefs at 25% odds to win it all and the Bills at 21%. Outside of those 2, the Bengals (8%) are the only other team in the AFC with a better than 1% chance of winning the Super Bowl. The Jaguars, Ravens, and Chargers aren’t expected to go far. It’s pretty clear the AFC is likeliest to come down to the Chiefs and Bills.

The Eagles, on the other hand, possess the highest likelihood (48%) of making the Super Bowl given the overall weakness of the field in the NFC. The 49ers aren’t too far behind them with a 26% chance of their own but are still considered distant. The Cowboys (11%) and Vikings (9%) are the only other teams in the picture with a realistic shot. The Buccaneers and Giants come next on the list and each possess slim chances.

Generally, the odds are in favor of a Super Bowl between either the Chiefs/Bills from the AFC and the Eagles from the NFC. The Dolphins and Seahawks represent the longest shots of any team on either side by contrast. We’re operating on the basis that the Bills ultimately emerge from the AFC for the purposes of these rankings.

One last note: There are a handful of injured players whose names appear in italics below. We’ll be sure to keep readers in the loop about these players and adjust our rankings accordingly based on the news.

(Check out playoff IDP rankings here.)

Top 50 Overall

1.) Josh Allen, Bills
2.) Christian McCaffrey, 49ers
3.) Jalen Hurts, Eagles
4.) Stefon Diggs, Bills
5.) Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
6.) Travis Kelce, Chiefs
7.) A.J. Brown, Eagles
8.) JaMarr Chase, Bengals
9.) Joe Burrow, Bengals
10.) Justin Jefferson, Vikings
11.) DeVonta Smith, Eagles
12.) Tee Higgins, Bengals
13.) Deebo Samuel, 49ers
14.) Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers
15.) CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys
16.) Austin Ekeler, Chargers
17.) Saquon Barkley, Giants
18.) Joe Mixon, Bengals
19.) Dallas Goedert, Eagles
20.) George Kittle, 49ers
21.) Jerick McKinnon, Chiefs
22.) Brock Purdy, 49ers
23.) JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs
24.) Keenan Allen, Chargers
25.) Tyreek Hill, Dolphins
26.) Chris Godwin, Buccaneers
27.) Tony Pollard, Cowboys
28.) Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys
29.) Miles Sanders, Eagles
30.) Mike Evans, Buccaneers
31.) Gabe Davis, Bills
32.) Dalvin Cook, Vikings
33.) Dak Prescott, Cowboys
34.) Justin Herbert, Chargers
35.) Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars
36.) Dawson Knox, Bills
37.) T.J. Hockenson, Vikings
38.) Dalton Schultz, Cowboys
39.) Christian Kirk, Jaguars
40.) James Cook, Bills
41.) Devin Singletary, Bills
42.) Isiah Pacheco, Chiefs
43.) Travis Etienne Jr., Jaguars
44.) Tyler Boyd, Bengals
45.) Kadarius Toney, Chiefs
46.) Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins
47.) Zay Jones, Jaguars
48.) Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chiefs
49.) Mecole Hardman, Chiefs
50.) Elijah Mitchell, 49ers


QBs

1.) Josh Allen, Bills
2.) Jalen Hurts, Eagles
3.) Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
4.) Joe Burrow, Bengals
5.) Brock Purdy, 49ers
6.) Dak Prescott, Cowboys
7.) Justin Herbert, Chargers
8.) Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars
9.) Daniel Jones, Giants
10.) Kirk Cousins, Vikings
11.) Tom Brady, Buccaneers
12.) Lamar Jackson, Ravens
13.) Geno Smith, Seahawks
14.) Teddy Bridgewater, Dolphins


RBs

1.) Christian McCaffrey, 49ers
2.) Austin Ekeler, Chargers
3.) Saquon Barkley, Giants
4.) Joe Mixon, Bengals
5.) Jerick McKinnon, Chiefs
6.) Tony Pollard, Cowboys
7.) Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys
8.) Miles Sanders, Eagles
9.) Dalvin Cook, Vikings
10.) James Cook, Bills
11.) Devin Singletary, Bills
12.) Isiah Pacheco, Chiefs
13.) Travis Etienne Jr., Jaguars
14.) Elijah Mitchell, 49ers
15.) Leonard Fournette, Buccaneers
16.) Rachaad White, Buccaneers
17.) J.K. Dobbins, Ravens
18.) Kenneth Walker III, Seahawks
19.) Jeff Wilson Jr., Dolphins
20.) Kenneth Gainwell, Eagles
21.) Samaje Perine, Bengals
22.) Boston Scott, Eagles
23.) Raheem Mostert, Dolphins
24.) Gus Edwards, Ravens
25.) Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chiefs
26.) Ronald Jones II, Chiefs
27.) Joshua Kelley, Chargers
28.) Kenyan Drake, Ravens
29.) Justice Hill, Ravens
30.) Jordan Mason, 49ers
31.) Nyheim Hines, Bills
32.) Alexander Mattison, Vikings
33.) DeeJay Dallas, Seahawks


WRs

1.) Stefon Diggs, Bills
2.) A.J. Brown, Eagles
3.) JaMarr Chase, Bengals
4.) Justin Jefferson, Vikings
5.) DeVonta Smith, Eagles
6.) Tee Higgins, Bengals
7.) Deebo Samuel, 49ers
8.) Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers
9.) CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys
10.) JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs
11.) Keenan Allen, Chargers
12.) Tyreek Hill, Dolphins
13.) Chris Godwin, Buccaneers
14.) Mike Evans, Buccaneers
15.) Gabe Davis, Bills
16.) Christian Kirk, Jaguars
17.) Tyler Boyd, Bengals
18.) Kadarius Toney, Chiefs
19.) Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins
20.) Zay Jones, Jaguars
21.) Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chiefs
22.) Mecole Hardman, Chiefs
23.) D.K. Metcalf, Seahawks
24.) Tyler Lockett, Seahawks
25.) Richie James, Giants
26.) Isaiah Hodgins, Giants
27.) Darius Slayton, Giants
28.) Mike Williams, Chargers (Out for Wild Card game)
29.) Adam Thielen, Vikings
30.) Michael Gallup, Cowboys
31.) K.J. Osborn, Vikings
32.) Joshua Palmer, Chargers
33.) Isaiah McKenzie, Bills
34.) Russell Gage, Buccaneers
35.) Jauan Jennings, 49ers
36.) Quez Watkins, Eagles
37.) T.Y. Hilton, Cowboys
38.) Noah Brown, Cowboys
39.) Julio Jones, Buccaneers
40.) Justin Watson, Chiefs
41.) Marvin Jones Jr., Jaguars
42.) Khalil Shakir, Bills
43.) Cole Beasley, Bills
44.) John Brown, Bills
45.) Trent Sherfield, 49ers
46.) Trenton Irwin, Bengals
47.) Demarcus Robinson, Ravens
48.) Sammy Watkins, Ravens


TEs

1.) Travis Kelce, Chiefs
2.) Dallas Goedert, Eagles
3.) George Kittle, 49ers
4.) Dawson Knox, Bills
5.) T.J. Hockenson, Vikings
6.) Dalton Schultz, Cowboys
7.) Hayden Hurst, Bengals
8.) Evan Engram, Jaguars
9.) Mark Andrews, Ravens
10.) Gerald Everett, Chargers
11.) Cade Otton, Buccaneers
12.) Daniel Bellinger, Giants
13.) Noah Fant, Seahawks
14.) Donald Parham, Chargers
15.) Isaiah Likely, Ravens
16.) Noah Gray, Chiefs
17.) Mike Gesicki, Dolphins
18.) Cameron Brate, Buccaneers
19.) Irv Smith Jr., Vikings
20.) Jake Ferguson, Cowboys
21.) Colby Parkinson, Seahawks


Ks

1.) Tyler Bass, Bills
2.) Robbie Gould, 49ers
3.) Jake Elliott, Eagles
4.) Harrison Butker, Chiefs
5.) Evan McPherson, Bengals
6.) Brett Maher, Cowboys
7.) Cameron Dicker, Chargers
8.) Justin Tucker, Ravens
9.) Graham Gano, Giants
10.) Greg Joseph, Vikings
11.) Riley Patterson, Jaguars
12.) Ryan Succop, Buccaneers
13.) Jason Sanders, Dolphins
14.) Jason Myers, Seahawks

DSTs

1.) 49ers
2.) Eagles
3.) Bills
4.) Chiefs
5.) Cowboys
6.) Bengals
7.) Buccaneers
8.) Giants
9.) Vikings
10.) Ravens
11.) Chargers
12.) Jaguars
13.) Dolphins
14.) Seahawks

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